Friday, April 12, 2024

Was it correct of the Finnish government to impose a lock-down and a Covidpass? Part 1 The Case for Willful Blindless

Today I visited the district Court of Helsingfors to see medical doctor Aseem Malhotra's expert testimony in the case between Mika Vauhkala and the Finnish government/Fazer group. Mr Vauhkala is suing the Finnish government/Fazer because of an incident that occurred in December 2021 at one of Fazer's pastry shops, where he was denied service because he lacked the Covid pass which was import by acting prime minister Sanna Marin and her cabinet. Contrary to Sweden who decentralized decision making to experts, Marin & Co centralized that process and imposed a lock down. In order to sort facts from figures, one should try to deconstruct the discourse to its parts, and analyze each of them. As a psychological scientist, I know something about that. The consequence of Marin & Co action was soaring depression and excess deaths.The risk of lethal consequence from Sars-Cov (2) is very, very low, and the vaccine doesn't stop the virus from spreading.  In some cases, The vaccine itself poses a greater risk compared to the virus itself, which was illustrated by the three cases. 7 pages.

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Today I visited the district Court of Helsingfors to see medical doctor Aseem Malhotra's expert testimony in the case between Mika Vauhkala and the Finnish government/Fazer group.

Mr Vauhkala is suing the Finnish government/Fazer because of an incident that occurred in December 2021 at one of Fazer's pastry shops, where he was denied service because he lacked a Covid pass.

Now, the parties are presenting their respective discourse for the judges to decide from.

In order to sort facts from figures, one should try to deconstruct the discourse to its parts, and analyze each of them. As a psychological scientist, I know something about that.

Our species sometimes fall victim of “natural stupidity”, e.g. Confirmation bias - selecting information to confirm a belief (Nickerson, 1998), Dysrationalia - the inability to think and behave rationally despite adequate intelligence (Stanovich, 1993), Continued Influence Bias - continuing to promote information despite knowing its been proven wrong (Cacciatore, 2021), or Willful Blindness/conscious avoidance - intentionally keeping oneself unaware of facts that would render liable if implicated (Marcus, 1993; Sarch, 2019).

In 2018, I was invited to Finland to become a research-leader at the University of Helsingfors for a project which aimed to explore the future of Finland's food production from a perspective of Entrepreneurial thinking, how to elaborate facts-based scenarios forward time. I also developed a model for such thinking: Rational Entrepreneurial Thinking (Österberg, 2021, chapter 3, in Swedish). The model has a three part structure, based on existing theories:
  1. Epistemic vigilance - be suspicious about a message and the purpose of sending the message (Sperber et al. 2010).

  2. Disjunctive reasoning - take many sources into account (Stanovich, 2009).

  3. Numeracy - rely on numerical data (Brook and Pui, 2010). Numeracy is crusial for instrumental and epistemic rational thinking. 
In December of 2019, the world encountered a new challenge - Severe acute respiratory syndrome coronavirus 2 (SARS‑CoV‑2) which, if it travels through our species, may cause Coronavirus disease 2019 (Covid19). Mark the word may, because like everything else, it's about probabilities.

Therefore I started to explore the Sars-Cov (2) concept and some of the peculiar behaviors that occurred in consonance with it, .e.g. people en masse started to buy toilet paper.

There are a few remarks to be made. First, if there's a second version (2), there must be a first version. Hence, Sars-Cov (1) has existed for many years (Thiel, 2007), and therefore, there should be some knowledge about how to handle a situation if a similar virus emerges.

Second, note the word 'may'. May do not imply 100% causation, but rather some risk.

One early conclusion was that nutrient matters; those who were fully loaded with the thirty micro nutrients we need to consume from the same plate on a regular basis to sustain physical and mental health, seemed to be more resistant against the virus (Österberg, 2020 a). 

In a second article, I explored the probability, risk, of becoming really sick from the virus. It also included getting acquainted with two new concepts: 'Cytokine storm' and Angiotensin-Converting Enzyme 2 (ACE2). The overall conclusion was that the risk of becoming sick if ACE2 welcomes Sars-Cov (2) into your organism, is very, very low (Österberg, 2020 b).

In Finland's neighboring country Sweden, a different strategy was chosen. Instead of a political top-down decision making process, decentralized decision making was applied. That means that the responsibility was handed over to experts. For example, contrary to Finland, Swedish schools remained open.

But Finland's government, led by acting, but never elected, prime minister Sanna Marin, and her cabinet: Katri Kulmuni (Centre Party), Minister deputizing for the Prime Minister; Maria Ohisalo (Green), Minister of the Interior; Li Andersson (Left Alliance), Minister of Education; Anna-Maja Henriksson (SFP), Minister of Justice, opted för the alternative to reject what experts and lock down parts of Finland. They also imposed severe restrictions; schools were closed and on March 10, I was no longer allowed into my office or to conduct lectures at the faculty. It didn't make sense.

On March, 2020, YLE News reported that suicide, hade increased by 15% compared to the previous year.

2021:
  • I wrote another popular science article which was published in a Swedish-speaking Finnish business journal. There I repeated the close-to-zero probability to suffer hard if Sars-Cov (2) travels through our species (Österberg, 2021 b).

  • there was an election for office in Helsingfors city (and other cities in Finland). I met with politicians, and there was one major concern - depression, which was soaring after the lock-down, and maybe facilitated by the vaccine?

  • In november 2021, Kampf (2021) showed that also vaccinated people spread the virus.

  • In December, acting prime minister Sanna Marin was interviewed by the Guardian. She didn't mention the negative effects of the lock-down and the vaccine mandate (excess deaths and depression). Instead, she mentioned UNs annual Life-satisfaction inquiry, and claimed: “Finland is the world’s happiest nation – and I want to keep it that way” (Topping, 2021).

  • Mika Vauhkala visited one of Fazer's pastry shops with a friend to eat breakfast. There he was denied service because he did not have a Covid pass (Link to story).
In March 2023, Swedens' Central Bureau of Statistics (Statiska Centralbyrån) compared a measure called excess mortality between Finland and Sweden and some other countries.

But the comparison between Finland and Sweden is most interesting because the countries share ancestry and socio-culture (only 16% of the Finns have ancestry from the east). Hence, you don't expect to see significant differences. Here's the first diagram:


Here's the second diagram:


Mr Vauhkala decided, bravely, to sue the Finnish state and Fazer. The trial started on April 10 2024 and went on for three days.

On April 11, Danish freedom Movement arranged a conference in Helsingfors, where Mr Vauhkala, and Aseem Malhotra a British renowned physician who specializes in cardiovascular disease, and who have investigated the risks of suffer from Covid19 if Sars-Cov (2) travels through our species (Malhotra, 2024), spoke. After them, there was a panel with three victims of the Covid vaccins; one young man who suffered from heart-failure, a woman, who reported that Helsingfors Police broke into her home, forced her on the couch, handcuffed her, and transported her to custody. A local police officer then posted her picture and name on social media, with warning (there were some more details that will be added), and a woman who lost her son.

On the morning of April 12, people gathered at the District court in Helsingfors to listen to expert witness Aseem Malhotra.

As people entered the courtroom, the judge's first question to the expert witness from London was: - do you speak [Uralic] Finnish. That's a marker for tribal thinking, and the court personnel were biased.

It was a very odd question to a foreigner. Especially when not even all Finns speak that language. (From the viking era until 1910 - 1930, Finland was mainly Swedish speaking. Today, 47% of the Finns speak Swedish.)

The expert testimony was given using a translator, and Dr. Malhotra presented what is known as facts and figures, that is, numerical data, but managed to do that in a way so normal people could understand.

The representatives for the adversaries - the Finnish government and Fazer, were four lawyers. In response to Dr Malhotra's factual testimony, they only managed ad hominem oriented questions. Is that a demonstration of their clients Willful blindness?

Conclusion. Science demonstrates that the risk of suffering from lethal consequences if Sars-Cov (2) travels through our species is very, very low, and that the vaccine did not stop the virus from spreading. The consequence of Marin & Co action was soaring depression and excess deaths. The risk of lethal consequence from Sars-Cov (2) is very, very low, and the vaccine doesn't stop the virus from spreading.  In some cases, The vaccine itself poses a greater risk compared to the virus itself, which was illustrated by the three cases.
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